This is from last week but I don’t recall sharing it. A concise account of why people should not worry about school reopening. It is written for SA but applies also to the U.K. where timing is similar, as are the fears, including among people who consider themselves educated.
Loads of great points
- COVID on the way out in UK
- Antibody tests unreliable, don’t show prevalence
- Infections rates shouldn’t even be reported; dependent on testing
- R number depends on immunity and thus a red herring
- Everywhere same curve: up, then gently down (resonant of Michael Levitt’s interview in the same place). Immunity explains better than a load of different explanations for all the countries with different measures.
- And lockdown is retrogressive, not progressive; it’s dumb to bundle up the anti-lockdown people as on the right (or left I guess). It’s a luxury that the rich can afford and the poor can’t.
This Thursday at 11:30am (via Zoom) the @CHESS_DurhamUni reading group will be discussing ‘A Framework for Decisions in a Post-COVID World‘ by @AlexBroadbent . . . please contact firstname.lastname@example.org for the paper and joining instructions #COVID19 #socialpolicy #policymakers
This event took place on Wednesday 13 May 2020.
Let’s see whether the Swedes continue to be right, about the advantages of their strategy over a longer time frame.
It’s important to bear in mind that the appropriate comparison is not lockdown-or-bust, but lockdown vs. some more moderate and contextually feasible social distancing measures in conjunction with protection of vulnerable groups.
The documentary where he told us this to us is below.
7 minute low-res version:
30 minute high res version: